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Markets bet on whether Abigail Spanberger will win by 14 to 100 percentage points in Virginia
9 hours ago | Nov. 2, 2025 11:19 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 54,571 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Abigail Spanberger win by 14 to 100 percentage points in Virginia?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 29% chance for "14% and above", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 29% probability.

If the margin of victory for Abigail Spanberger in 2025 Virginia gubernatorial election in Virginia falls within 14 to 100 percentage points, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 392,962 transactions since it was first opened on September 07, 2025. There are 300,218 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 9,753,835 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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Markets bet on whether Jack Ciattarelli will win the 2025 New Jersey gubernatorial election
9 hours ago | Nov. 2, 2025 11:19 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 396,638 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Jack Ciattarelli win the 2025 New Jersey gubernatorial election?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 18% chance for "Jack Ciattarelli", which is up from yesterday, when the market implied a 17% probability.

If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of New Jersey pursuant to the 2025 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 7,789,438 transactions since it was first opened on November 07, 2024. There are 5,679,157 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 212,771,096 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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Markets bet on whether Jay Jones's margin in the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election will be between 2 and 3.99
9 hours ago | Nov. 2, 2025 11:19 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 11,817 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Jay Jones's margin in the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election be between 2 and 3.99?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 16% chance for "Jones, 2 to 3.99%", which is up from yesterday, when the market implied a 14% probability.

If the margin of victory for Jay Jones in the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election falls within 2 to 3.99 percent, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 19,509 transactions since it was first opened on October 21, 2025. There are 18,935 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 4,390,155 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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Markets bet on whether President Trump will pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before Jan 1, 2026
9 hours ago | Nov. 2, 2025 11:19 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 16,492 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Who will President Trump pardon before Jan 1, 2026?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 7% chance for "Ghislaine Maxwell", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 7% probability.

If the President of the United States pardons Ghislaine Maxwell before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 549,634 transactions since it was first opened on July 14, 2025. There are 264,977 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 5,301,328 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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Markets bet on whether tariffs on copper will come into effect before Jan 2026
9 hours ago | Nov. 2, 2025 11:19 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 60,865 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will tariffs on copper come into effect before Jan 2026?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 79% chance for "Before Jan 2026", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 79% probability.

If the President imposes any new (or raised) tariffs before Jan 1, 2026 on copper imports to the United States from all other countries, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 166,771 transactions since it was first opened on March 20, 2025. There are 81,997 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 6,529,340 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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Markets bet on whether Dan Bongino will leave the Trump Administration this year
9 hours ago | Nov. 2, 2025 11:19 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 12,071 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump Administration this year?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 17% chance for "Dan Bongino", which is down from yesterday, when the market implied a 18% probability.

If Dan Bongino leaves, or it is announced they will leave, their office before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 385,562 transactions since it was first opened on July 11, 2025. There are 93,676 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 1,505,364 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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Markets bet on whether Donald Trump will endorse Andrew Cuomo in 2025 NYC Mayoral Race
9 hours ago | Nov. 2, 2025 11:19 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 11,888 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Donald Trump endorse Andrew Cuomo in 2025 NYC Mayoral Race?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 8% chance for "Donald Trump", which is up from yesterday, when the market implied a 5% probability.

If Donald Trump endorses Andrew Cuomo in the 2025 NYC Mayoral Race before election day, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 112,034 transactions since it was first opened on August 07, 2025. There are 71,447 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 1,539,135 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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Markets bet on whether California's Redistricting referendum will pass
9 hours ago | Nov. 2, 2025 11:19 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 11,961 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will California's Redistricting referendum pass?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 98% chance for "Yes", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 98% probability.

If Proposition 50 in California passes, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 200,769 transactions since it was first opened on August 29, 2025. There are 143,279 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 1,376,205 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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Markets bet on whether Ghislaine Maxwell will be released from government custody before Jan 1, 2026
9 hours ago | Nov. 2, 2025 11:19 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 12,031 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Ghislaine Maxwell be released from government custody before Jan 1, 2026?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 9% chance for "Before Jan 1, 2026", which is up from yesterday, when the market implied a 8% probability.

If Ghislaine Maxwell is released from government custody before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 246,969 transactions since it was first opened on July 15, 2025. There are 114,831 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 1,297,720 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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Markets bet on whether Powell leaves before 2026
1 day, 9 hours ago | Nov. 1, 2025 11:18 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 37,847 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Powell leaves before 2026?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 5% chance for "Before 2026", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 5% probability.

If Jerome Powell is no longer Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors (not merely announces he leaves office) by Dec 31, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 6,002,314 transactions since it was first opened on May 01, 2024. There are 1,003,583 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 23,174,359 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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Markets bet on whether a representative of the Andrew Cuomo party will win the NYC Mayor race in 2025
1 day, 9 hours ago | Nov. 1, 2025 11:18 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 1,506,291 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will a representative of the Andrew Cuomo party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 8% chance for "Andrew Cuomo", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 8% probability.

If Andrew Cuomo (as an independent only) wins the NYC Mayoral election on Nov 4, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 22,002,690 transactions since it was first opened on June 25, 2025. There are 12,626,650 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 497,394,211 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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Markets bet on whether the Federal Reserve will cut rates by 25bps at their December 2025 meeting
1 day, 9 hours ago | Nov. 1, 2025 11:18 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 26,997 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their December 2025 meeting?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 66% chance for "Cut 25bps", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 66% probability.

If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on December 10, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 447,810 transactions since it was first opened on August 05, 2025. There are 345,891 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 17,227,841 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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Markets bet on whether Trump will create a National Bitcoin Reserve before Jan 1, 2026
1 day, 9 hours ago | Nov. 1, 2025 11:18 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 19,419 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve before Jan 1, 2026?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 15% chance for "Before Jan 1, 2026", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 15% probability.

If the White House creates a National Bitcoin Reserve (a la the Strategic Petroleum Reserve) before January 1, 2026, either through direct executive action or by signing a bill into law, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 1,730,302 transactions since it was first opened on November 09, 2024. There are 365,872 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 60,120,525 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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Markets bet on whether Jim McGreevey will win the election for Mayor of Jersey City in 2025
1 day, 9 hours ago | Nov. 1, 2025 11:18 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 16,359 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Jim McGreevey win the election for the Mayor of Jersey City in 2025?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 77% chance for "Jim McGreevey", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 77% probability.

If Jim McGreevey is sworn in pursuant to the election for Mayor in Jersey City in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 166,325 transactions since it was first opened on March 27, 2025. There are 127,707 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 2,492,892 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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Markets bet on whether the Fed will cut rates 5 times
1 day, 9 hours ago | Nov. 1, 2025 11:18 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 25,015 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will the Fed cut rates 5 times?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 1% chance for "Exactly 5 cuts", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 1% probability.

If the Fed cuts 5 times before 2026, the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 1,293,820 transactions since it was first opened on December 20, 2024. There are 578,055 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 49,269,602 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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Markets bet on whether government spending will decrease by $1 billion before 2025
1 day, 9 hours ago | Nov. 1, 2025 11:18 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 16,082 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will government spending decrease by 1 before 2025?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 17% chance for "At least 1 billion", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 17% probability.

If government spending decreases by at least $1 billion during Q4 2024 to Q4 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 1,155,773 transactions since it was first opened on February 25, 2025. There are 280,926 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 10,340,700 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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Markets bet on whether the Federal Reserve will hike rates by December 31, 2025
1 day, 9 hours ago | Nov. 1, 2025 11:18 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 11,236 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will the Federal Reserve hike rates by December 31, 2025?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 3% chance for "Before 2026", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 3% probability.

If the Federal Reserve hikes again by Dec 31, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 375,609 transactions since it was first opened on December 14, 2023. There are 104,802 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 19,372,931 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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Markets bet on whether Virginia Lieutenant Governor election will have the smallest margin of victory in 2025 U.S. Elections
2 days, 9 hours ago | Oct. 31, 2025 11:17 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 39,651 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Virginia Lieutenant Governor election have the smallest margin of victory in 2025 U.S. Elections?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 17% chance for "Virginia Lieutenant Governor", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 17% probability.

If the Virginia Lieutenant Governor election has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2025 Virginia Governor, Virginia Lieutenant Governor, Virginia Attorney General, New Jersey Governor, NYC Mayor, and California Proposition 50 elections, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 45,244 transactions since it was first opened on October 07, 2025. There are 22,941 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 2,705,809 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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Markets bet on whether average gas prices will be above $3.052
2 days, 9 hours ago | Oct. 31, 2025 11:17 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 18,084 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will average **gas prices** be above $3.052?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 15% chance for "Above 3.052", which is down from yesterday, when the market implied a 16% probability.

If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $3.052 on Nov 3, 2025 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 19,941 transactions since it was first opened on October 27, 2025. There are 17,477 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 1,326,978 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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Markets bet on whether Jacob Frey will win the Minneapolis Mayoral Election
2 days, 9 hours ago | Oct. 31, 2025 11:17 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 25,098 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Who will win Minneapolis Mayoral Election?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 80% chance for "Jacob Frey", which is up from yesterday, when the market implied a 79% probability.

If Jacob Frey wins the Minneapolis Mayoral Election in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 170,680 transactions since it was first opened on July 23, 2025. There are 116,898 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 2,238,405 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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Markets bet on whether Curtis Sliwa will receive between 25.01% and 100% of the popular vote in New York City
2 days, 9 hours ago | Oct. 31, 2025 11:17 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 41,293 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Curtis Sliwa receive between 25.01% and 100% of the popular vote in New York City?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 6% chance for "Above 25%", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 6% probability.

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Curtis Sliwa in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Election is 25.01% to 100%, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 179,065 transactions since it was first opened on September 11, 2025. There are 103,994 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 4,304,601 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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Markets bet on whether Nicolás Maduro will leave office this year
2 days, 9 hours ago | Oct. 31, 2025 11:17 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 40,445 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Nicolás Maduro out this year?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 36% chance for "Nicolás Maduro", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 36% probability.

If Nicolás Maduro leaves office before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 216,011 transactions since it was first opened on September 10, 2025. There are 129,502 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 11,900,847 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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Markets bet on whether Trump will release documents about Epstein's associates before Jan 1, 2026
2 days, 9 hours ago | Oct. 31, 2025 11:17 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 39,705 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Trump release any documents about Epstein's associates before Jan 1, 2026?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 22% chance for "Before 2026", which is up from yesterday, when the market implied a 16% probability.

If the Trump Administration releases any previously unreleased documents from prior to the Administration discussing Jeffrey Epstein's associates/connections before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 1,978,872 transactions since it was first opened on May 02, 2025. There are 401,979 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 16,649,359 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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Markets bet on whether Mark Kelly will be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028
2 days, 9 hours ago | Oct. 31, 2025 11:17 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 96,947 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Mark Kelly be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 2% chance for "Mark Kelly", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 2% probability.

If Mark Kelly wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 860,928 transactions since it was first opened on February 01, 2025. There are 640,928 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 268,742,656 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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Markets bet on whether the USDA or OMB will announce a delay in November 2025 SNAP benefits due to appropriations issues
2 days, 9 hours ago | Oct. 31, 2025 11:17 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 92,481 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) or the Office of Management and Budget (OMB) announce an ongoing nationwide delay, suspension, reduction, or non-issuance of November 2025 SNAP benefits to recipients on their scheduled payment dates due to a lapse in appropriations in 2025?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 89% chance for "In 2025", which is up from yesterday, when the market implied a 88% probability.

If the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) or the Office of Management and Budget (OMB) announces an ongoing nationwide delay, suspension, reduction, or non-issuance of November 2025 SNAP benefits (food stamps) to recipients on their scheduled payment dates due to a lapse in appropriations before Dec 1, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 145,221 transactions since it was first opened on October 24, 2025. There are 62,809 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 3,551,002 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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Markets bet on whether Donald Trump will leave office this year
2 days, 9 hours ago | Oct. 31, 2025 11:17 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 430,532 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Donald Trump out this year?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 3% chance for "Donald Trump", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 3% probability.

If Donald Trump leaves office before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 6,077,543 transactions since it was first opened on August 30, 2025. There are 1,283,628 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 549,664,039 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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Markets bet on whether Amazon will mention "Third Party Sellers" during their next earnings call
3 days, 9 hours ago | Oct. 30, 2025 11:17 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 18,402 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “What will Amazon.com, Inc. say during their next earnings call?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 100% chance for "Third Party Sellers", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 100% probability.

If Third Party Sellers is said by any Amazon.com, Inc. representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Amazon.com, Inc. earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 23,818 transactions since it was first opened on September 19, 2025. There are 12,661 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 80,744 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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Markets bet on whether CPI inflation will be above 3.1% for the year ending in October 2025
3 days, 9 hours ago | Oct. 30, 2025 11:17 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 29,736 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.1% for the year ending in October 2025?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 38% chance for "Above 3.1%", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 38% probability.

If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.1% in the twelve months ending October 2025 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 102,460 transactions since it was first opened on September 12, 2025. There are 44,409 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 3,750,376 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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Markets bet on whether Zohran Mamdani will outperform the final Real Clear Polling average in NYC Mayoral election
3 days, 9 hours ago | Oct. 30, 2025 11:17 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 22,943 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Zohran Mamdani outperform the final Real Clear Polling average in NYC Mayoral election?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 49% chance for "Yes", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 49% probability.

If Zohran Mamdani's margin of victory outperforms that of the final Real Clear Polling average margin of victory (“spread”) at 10:00 AM ET on Nov 4, 2025 in the 2025 NYC Mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 134,917 transactions since it was first opened on October 10, 2025. There are 76,963 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 4,514,471 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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Markets bet on whether average gas prices will be above $3.05
3 days, 9 hours ago | Oct. 30, 2025 11:17 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 51,201 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will average **gas prices** be above $3.05?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 3% chance for "Above 3.05", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 3% probability.

If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $3.05 on Oct 31, 2025 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 1,045,415 transactions since it was first opened on September 30, 2025. There are 140,073 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 1,853,090 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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Markets bet on whether Mikie Sherrill will win by 0 to 1.99 percentage points in New Jersey
3 days, 9 hours ago | Oct. 30, 2025 11:17 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 115,340 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Mikie Sherrill win by 0 to 1.99 percentage points in New Jersey?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 11% chance for "0 to 1.99%", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 11% probability.

If the margin of victory for Mikie Sherrill in New Jersey Gubernatorial Election in New Jersey falls within 0 to 1.99 percentage points, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 502,240 transactions since it was first opened on September 06, 2025. There are 422,929 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 7,761,148 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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Markets bet on whether Apple Inc. will mention "Streaming" during their next earnings call
3 days, 9 hours ago | Oct. 30, 2025 11:17 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 21,641 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “What will Apple Inc. say during their next earnings call?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 1% chance for "Streaming", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 1% probability.

If Streaming is said by any Apple Inc. representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Apple Inc. earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 33,917 transactions since it was first opened on September 19, 2025. There are 25,411 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 173,615 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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Markets bet on whether the federal government will shut down for more than 31 days
3 days, 9 hours ago | Oct. 30, 2025 11:17 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 299,153 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will the federal government shut down for more than 31 days?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 100% chance for "More than 31 days", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 100% probability.

If the ongoing federal government shutdown (starting October 1) lasts for Above 31 days (through 10:00 AM ET November 1), then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 625,285 transactions since it was first opened on October 20, 2025. There are 342,293 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 2,991,973 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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Markets bet on whether Trump will buy Greenland
3 days, 9 hours ago | Oct. 30, 2025 11:17 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 312,271 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Trump buy Greenland?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 25% chance for "During Trump's term", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 25% probability.

If the United States purchases at least part of Greenland from Denmark before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 1,645,861 transactions since it was first opened on December 21, 2024. There are 218,848 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 77,922,157 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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Globalstar Shares Surge 28% on Report of Sale Talks With SpaceX
3 days, 13 hours ago | Oct. 30, 2025 7:23 p.m. UTC

Globalstar ($GSAT) shares spiked 28% Thursday after a Bloomberg report said the satellite communications firm is working with an investment bank to explore a sale and has held preliminary talks with Elon Musk’s SpaceX.

Key facts:

  • Globalstar shares jumped to $58.35 after the report, with trading briefly halted for volatility.
  • SpaceX is one of several potential suitors, though Globalstar could choose to remain independent.
  • Apple holds a 20% stake in Globalstar and invested $1.5 billion last year to enhance satellite infrastructure.
  • Chairman James Monroe has previously discussed potential sale valuations above $10 billion.
  • The company supports iPhone satellite texting and emergency services through Apple’s global ecosystem.

Relevant Companies

  • Globalstar ($GSAT): Shares surged on sale speculation and possible SpaceX interest.
  • Apple ($AAPL): Owns a 20% stake in Globalstar and relies on its satellite network for iPhone SOS services.
  • SpaceX (private): Reportedly in early talks to acquire or partner with Globalstar.

Editor’s Note: This is a developing story. This article may be updated as more details become available.

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United and American Airlines CEOs to Meet With VP Vance on Shutdown Effects
3 days, 16 hours ago | Oct. 30, 2025 3:49 p.m. UTC

U.S. Vice President JD Vance will meet with aviation industry leaders at the White House on Thursday to discuss the impact of the ongoing government shutdown, which has entered its fourth week and strained the nation’s air travel system.

  • Attendees include United Airlines CEO Scott Kirby, American Airlines CEO Robert Isom, Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy, and Airlines for America CEO Chris Sununu.
  • The roundtable aims to address increasing delays and staffing issues, with more than 13,000 air traffic controllers and 50,000 TSA agents currently working without pay.
  • Duffy has warned that flight disruptions will likely worsen as missed paychecks lead to higher absenteeism among aviation staff.
  • Senate Democrats continue to block a GOP-backed short-term funding bill, demanding renewal of expiring Obamacare subsidies first.
  • Airports nationwide are reporting higher rates of delays linked to staffing shortages, though overall on-time departure rates remain within normal ranges, according to Cirium data.
  • The 2019 government shutdown ended following major air travel disruptions — a precedent some analysts believe could repeat if the impasse continues.

Relevant Companies

Editor’s Note: This is a developing story. This article may be updated as more details become available.

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Markets bet on whether Donald J. Trump will be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party
4 days, 9 hours ago | Oct. 29, 2025 11:18 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 22,650 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Donald J. Trump be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 7% chance for "Donald J. Trump", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 7% probability.

If Donald J. Trump wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 732,259 transactions since it was first opened on November 06, 2024. There are 498,553 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 386,920,482 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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Markets bet on whether core inflation will rise more than 0.2% in October
4 days, 9 hours ago | Oct. 29, 2025 11:18 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 25,277 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will core inflation rise more than 0.2% in October?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 85% chance for "Above 0.2%", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 85% probability.

If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for October 2025, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by more than 0.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 84,341 transactions since it was first opened on September 12, 2025. There are 70,537 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 4,452,896 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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Markets bet on whether PVV will gain seats in the 2025 Dutch general election
4 days, 9 hours ago | Oct. 29, 2025 11:18 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 36,930 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will PVV gain seats in 2025 Dutch general election?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 1% chance for "PVV", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 1% probability.

If PVV experiences a gain of above 0 seats in the 2025 Dutch general election, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 38,304 transactions since it was first opened on October 24, 2025. There are 34,013 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 143,700 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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Markets bet on whether Christian Democratic Appeal will finish 2nd in the Netherlands
4 days, 9 hours ago | Oct. 29, 2025 11:18 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 30,885 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Christian Democratic Appeal finish 2nd in the Netherlands?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 1% chance for "Christian Democratic Appeal", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 1% probability.

If Christian Democratic Appeal finishes in 2nd place in 2025 Dutch general election in the Netherlands according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 34,735 transactions since it was first opened on September 12, 2025. There are 28,181 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at -54,537 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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Markets bet on whether Democrats will sweep all three Virginia statewide elections
4 days, 9 hours ago | Oct. 29, 2025 11:18 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 41,694 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Democrats sweep all three Virginia statewide elections?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 34% chance for "Yes", which is up from yesterday, when the market implied a 31% probability.

If Democrats win the 2025 Virginia Governor, Virginia Lieutenant Governor, AND Virginia Attorney General elections, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 203,768 transactions since it was first opened on October 07, 2025. There are 119,428 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 5,829,066 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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Markets bet on whether Musk will have a net worth more than 500 billion before Jan 1, 2026
4 days, 9 hours ago | Oct. 29, 2025 11:18 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 28,220 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Musk have a net worth more than 500 billion before Jan 1, 2026?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 100% chance for "More than $500 billion", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 100% probability.

If Elon Musk has a net worth more than 500 billion dollars before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 370,897 transactions since it was first opened on November 19, 2024. There are 148,475 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 17,712,006 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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Markets bet on whether Discord will IPO in 2025
4 days, 9 hours ago | Oct. 29, 2025 11:18 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 59,701 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Who will IPO in 2025?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 45% chance for "Discord", which is up from yesterday, when the market implied a 44% probability.

If Discord Inc. confirms an IPO before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 619,288 transactions since it was first opened on July 28, 2025. There are 156,881 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 2,032,814 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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Markets bet on whether anyone will be charged in the Louvre theft before November 1, 2025
4 days, 9 hours ago | Oct. 29, 2025 11:18 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 49,041 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will any person be charged with a crime in relation to the October 19, 2025 theft of France's Crown Jewels from the Apollo Gallery in the Louvre Museum crime before Nov 1, 2025?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 93% chance for "Before November", which is down from yesterday, when the market implied a 95% probability.

If any person has been formally charged with a crime in relation to the October 19, 2025 theft of France's Crown Jewels from the Apollo Gallery in the Louvre Museum in any jurisdiction after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 221,752 transactions since it was first opened on October 20, 2025. There are 55,853 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 1,697,058 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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Federal Reserve Cuts Interest Rates by 25 Basis Points, Ends Balance Sheet Reduction
4 days, 14 hours ago | Oct. 29, 2025 6:19 p.m. UTC

The Federal Reserve cut its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points on Wednesday, marking its second consecutive reduction to counter slowing job growth. The central bank also announced plans to halt the shrinkage of its balance sheet on December 1, concluding a process that began in 2022.

  • The Federal Open Market Committee voted 10–2 to lower the federal funds rate target range to 3.75%–4%.
  • Governor Stephen Miran dissented in favor of a larger 50-basis-point cut, while Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid opposed any reduction.
  • Officials described economic growth as “moderate” and inflation as “somewhat elevated.”
  • The Fed said it will stop reducing its balance sheet on December 1, after shedding over $2 trillion in Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities since 2022.
  • The decision follows signs of a cooling labor market and limited access to economic data due to the ongoing government shutdown.
  • Markets reacted with Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar moving higher, while the S&P 500 held gains.

Relevant Companies

  • None Found

Editor’s Note: This is a developing story. This article may be updated as more details become available.

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California Rep. Gilbert Cisneros Doubles Investment on Bloom Energy Stock After Strong Q3 Earnings
4 days, 17 hours ago | Oct. 29, 2025 2:30 p.m. UTC

California Representative Gilbert Cisneros has more than doubled his investment in Bloom Energy ($BE) after the company’s third-quarter earnings report sent shares soaring over 25% on Wednesday. Cisneros, who sits on the House Sustainable Energy and Environment Coalition, disclosed purchasing between $1,000 and $15,000 worth of Bloom Energy stock on September 26, 2025.

  • Cisneros’ investment in Bloom Energy has now gained over 100% since his late September purchase.
  • Bloom Energy, a clean energy technology firm based in San Jose, California, develops solid oxide fuel cell systems for on-site power generation.
  • The company reported Q3 revenue of $519 million, beating analyst estimates of $428 million and marking a 57% year-over-year increase.
  • Adjusted earnings per share came in at $0.15, above expectations of $0.10, while gross margin improved to 29.2%.
  • The company highlighted its $5 billion artificial intelligence infrastructure partnership with Brookfield Asset Management as a key driver of growth.
  • Bloom Energy CEO KR Sridhar said the firm is positioned at “the center of a once-in-a-generation opportunity” to redefine power generation and delivery.

Relevant Companies

  • Bloom Energy ($BE) — Shares surged over 25% following stronger-than-expected Q3 results and AI infrastructure partnerships.

Editor’s Note: This is a developing story. This article may be updated as more details become available.

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Korean Air Orders 103 Boeing Jets in $36.2 Billion Deal During Trump’s Visit to South Korea
4 days, 18 hours ago | Oct. 29, 2025 1:42 p.m. UTC

The White House announced that Korean Air will purchase 103 new Boeing aircraft worth $36.2 billion, part of a series of major trade and investment deals secured by President Donald Trump during his visit to South Korea. The agreements span aerospace, energy, and technology sectors, supporting thousands of U.S. jobs and deepening economic ties between the two allies.

  • Korean Air’s order will support up to 135,000 U.S. jobs and include a separate $13.7 billion deal for GE Aerospace engines.
  • The ROK Air Force selected L3Harris Technologies for a $2.3 billion Airborne Warning and Control aircraft project, supporting 6,000 American jobs.
  • Energy deals include the Korea Gas Corporation’s long-term purchase of 3.3 million tons per year of U.S. LNG and a new uranium enrichment partnership between Centrus Energy, KHNP, and POSCO International.
  • Amazon announced a $5 billion investment to expand cloud infrastructure in South Korea, part of a broader $40 billion regional initiative.
  • Shipbuilding investments include a $5 billion program by HD Hyundai and Cerberus Capital Management to modernize U.S. shipyards.
  • Hanwha Ocean plans a $5 billion expansion at Pennsylvania’s Philly Shipyard, increasing production capacity more than tenfold.

Relevant Companies

  • Boeing ($BA) — Supplier of 103 aircraft to Korean Air, valued at $36.2 billion.
  • GE Aerospace ($GE) — Providing engines for Korean Air’s new fleet under a $13.7 billion contract.
  • L3Harris Technologies ($LHX) — Selected for South Korea’s $2.3 billion Airborne Warning and Control aircraft program.

Editor’s Note: This is a developing story. This article may be updated as more details become available.

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Nvidia Becomes First $5 Trillion Company as AI Boom Pushes Shares to Record High
4 days, 18 hours ago | Oct. 29, 2025 1:35 p.m. UTC

Nvidia ($NVDA) became the first company in history to reach a $5 trillion market capitalization on Wednesday, with shares rising 3.8% to a record $208.90 at the open. The milestone follows months of gains fueled by surging demand for artificial intelligence hardware and a series of new global partnerships.

  • Shares of Nvidia have surged 50% year-to-date, driving nearly one-fifth of the S&P 500’s 17% gain in 2025.
  • CEO Jensen Huang has announced new chip supply deals with companies including Nokia, Samsung, and Hyundai Motor Group.
  • The company is developing systems to connect quantum computers with AI chips and projects its latest products could generate up to $500 billion in revenue.
  • President Trump said he plans to discuss Nvidia’s Blackwell chip exports with Chinese President Xi Jinping during their upcoming meeting in South Korea.
  • Nvidia’s valuation now exceeds those of Microsoft ($MSFT) and Apple ($AAPL), both around $4 trillion.
  • Analysts remain largely bullish, with over 90% rating the stock a buy and an average price target of $223.68.

Relevant Companies

  • Nvidia ($NVDA) — Crossed $5 trillion in market cap on record AI chip demand and global partnerships.

Editor’s Note: This is a developing story. This article may be updated as more details become available.

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Supermicro Launches U.S. Federal Subsidiary to Expand Domestic AI Server Manufacturing
4 days, 19 hours ago | Oct. 29, 2025 1:13 p.m. UTC

Super Micro Computer ($SMCI) announced the formation of Super Micro Federal LLC, a new subsidiary focused on serving U.S. government agencies with domestically manufactured AI and high-performance computing systems. The initiative strengthens Supermicro’s role in supporting federal technology projects and advancing U.S.-based production capacity.

  • Super Micro Federal LLC will deliver AI-optimized, energy-efficient computing infrastructure designed, built, and validated in the United States.
  • The new entity targets federal clients requiring high-performance, secure, and scalable systems for data centers and AI workloads.
  • Manufacturing will be centered at Supermicro’s expanded Silicon Valley facilities, part of the company’s broader plan to increase domestic production capabilities.
  • CEO Charles Liang said the company aims to provide fully integrated IT solutions tailored to the needs of U.S. agencies through its Data Center Building Block Solutions® platform.
  • Supermicro is exploring additional U.S. manufacturing sites to meet rising demand for AI and cloud infrastructure across the federal sector.

Relevant Companies

Editor’s Note: This is a developing story. This article may be updated as more details become available.

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Markets bet on whether Kamala Harris will win the next presidential election
5 days, 9 hours ago | Oct. 28, 2025 11:19 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 26,751 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Who will win the next presidential election?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 3% chance for "Kamala Harris", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 3% probability.

If Kamala Harris is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 199,058 transactions since it was first opened on May 10, 2025. There are 174,296 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 870,174,747 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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