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Markets bet on whether Trump will buy Greenland

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Kalshi has reported 240,072 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Trump buy Greenland?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 36% chance for "During Trump's term", which is up from yesterday, when the market implied a 35% probability.

If the United States purchases at least part of Greenland from Denmark before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 2,383,163 transactions since it was first opened on December 21, 2024. There are 350,834 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 61,811,752 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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