Kalshi has reported 12,379 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will government spending decrease by 1 before 2025?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 12% chance for "At least 1 billion", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 12% probability.
If government spending decreases by at least $1 billion during Q4 2024 to Q4 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 1,272,502 transactions since it was first opened on February 25, 2025. There are 327,524 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 8,746,226 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the federal government shut down for more than 40 days? (24h volume: 981101)
- Will the federal government shut down for fewer than 92 days? (24h volume: 292956)
- Will Trump buy Greenland? (24h volume: 95827)
- Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Trump in V.O.S. Selections, Inc. v. Trump (24h volume: 56756)
- Margin of victory for Zohran Mamdani in the Mayoral Election? (24h volume: 49826)
- Will the EUR/USD open price be between 1.15200 and 1.15399 at Nov 10, 2025 at 10am EST? (24h volume: 47100)
- Will Marjorie Taylor Greene be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? (24h volume: 42211)
- Donald Trump out this year? (24h volume: 41435)
- Will Zohran Mamdani receive between 60% and 70.00% of the popular vote in New York City? (24h volume: 40267)
- Will Mikie Sherrill win by 12 to 13.99 percentage points in New Jersey? (24h volume: 35935)
