Kalshi has reported 30,743 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Zohran Mamdani outperform the final Real Clear Polling average in NYC Mayoral election?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 2% chance for "Yes", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 2% probability.
If Zohran Mamdani's margin of victory outperforms that of the final Real Clear Polling average margin of victory (“spread”) at 10:00 AM ET on Nov 4, 2025 in the 2025 NYC Mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 670,576 transactions since it was first opened on October 10, 2025. There are 140,480 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 3,638,084 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
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- Will Zohran Mamdani receive between 50% and 59.99% of the popular vote in New York City? (24h volume: 156499)
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- Will Marco Rubio be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? (24h volume: 138823)
- What percent of the vote will Zohran Mamdani get in NYC Mayoral Election? (24h volume: 122976)
- Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Trump in V.O.S. Selections, Inc. v. Trump (24h volume: 122068)
