Kalshi has reported 25,908 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve before Jan 1, 2026?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 18% chance for "Before Jan 1, 2026", which is up from yesterday, when the market implied a 17% probability.
If the White House creates a National Bitcoin Reserve (a la the Strategic Petroleum Reserve) before January 1, 2026, either through direct executive action or by signing a bill into law, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 1,609,302 transactions since it was first opened on November 09, 2024. There are 333,676 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 59,861,652 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will Ro Khanna be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party? (24h volume: 667000)
- Will the President sign above 0 Executive Orders between Oct 12, 2025 and Oct 19, 2025? (24h volume: 555613)
- Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 405092)
- Will John Bolton be arrested before Jan 2026? (24h volume: 158584)
- Will a representative of the Andrew Cuomo party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 158371)
- Will the federal government shut down for more than 60 days? (24h volume: 110879)
- Will government spending decrease by 1 before 2025? (24h volume: 84379)
- Will the Fed cut rates 4 times? (24h volume: 40525)
- Wil Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Maine? (24h volume: 35661)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.05? (24h volume: 32416)
