Kalshi has reported 17,280 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve before Jan 1, 2026?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 4% chance for "Before Jan 1, 2026", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 4% probability.
If the White House creates a National Bitcoin Reserve (a la the Strategic Petroleum Reserve) before January 1, 2026, either through direct executive action or by signing a bill into law, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 2,530,770 transactions since it was first opened on November 09, 2024. There are 628,242 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 19,405,167 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their December 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 175575)
- Nicolás Maduro out in November? (24h volume: 91156)
- Nicolás Maduro out this year? (24h volume: 61903)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.00? (24h volume: 41240)
- Who will win the next presidential election? (24h volume: 34050)
- Powell leaves before 2026? (24h volume: 29333)
- Will Trump next nominate Scott Bessent as Fed Chair? (24h volume: 22894)
- Will Democrats win the House in 2026? (24h volume: 21240)
- Will Democratic win the House race for TN-7? (24h volume: 20440)
- Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve before Jan 1, 2026? (24h volume: 17280)
