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Markets bet on whether President Trump will pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before Jan 1, 2026

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Kalshi has reported 5,620 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Who will President Trump pardon before Jan 1, 2026?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 8% chance for "Ghislaine Maxwell", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 8% probability.

If the President of the United States pardons Ghislaine Maxwell before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 336,817 transactions since it was first opened on July 14, 2025. There are 199,123 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 3,438,890 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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