Kalshi has reported 8,833 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Donald Trump out this year?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 5% chance for "Donald Trump", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 5% probability.
If Donald Trump leaves office before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 8,833 transactions since it was first opened on August 30, 2025. There are 8,833 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 39,598,948 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their September 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 106774)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.20? (24h volume: 92436)
- Will a representative of the Democratic party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 37026)
- JD Vance out as Vice President of the United States before Jan 2026? (24h volume: 27129)
- Wil Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Maine? (24h volume: 20499)
- Will CPI rise more than 0.2% in August 2025? (24h volume: 19950)
- Lisa DeNell Cook out as Federal Reserve Governor before Jan 2026? (24h volume: 18998)
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party? (24h volume: 15921)
- Powell leaves before 2026? (24h volume: 13691)
- Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.3% in August? (24h volume: 10058)
