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Markets bet on whether Mark Kelly will be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028

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Kalshi has reported 96,947 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Mark Kelly be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 2% chance for "Mark Kelly", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 2% probability.

If Mark Kelly wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 860,928 transactions since it was first opened on February 01, 2025. There are 640,928 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 268,742,656 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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