Kalshi has reported 299,153 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will the federal government shut down for more than 31 days?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 100% chance for "More than 31 days", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 100% probability.
If the ongoing federal government shutdown (starting October 1) lasts for Above 31 days (through 10:00 AM ET November 1), then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 625,285 transactions since it was first opened on October 20, 2025. There are 342,293 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 2,991,973 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will a representative of the Democratic party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 3989825)
- Donald Trump out this year? (24h volume: 1099303)
- Will Jack Ciattarelli win the 2025 New Jersey gubernatorial election? (24h volume: 505487)
- Who will win the election in the Netherlands? (24h volume: 427494)
- Who will get second place in the Mayor? (24h volume: 351640)
- Will Trump buy Greenland? (24h volume: 312271)
- Will the federal government shut down for more than 31 days? (24h volume: 299153)
- Will Curtis Sliwa drop out of the NYC Mayoral race? (24h volume: 246711)
- Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their December 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 166372)
- Will Democrats win VA Governor AND VA House of Delegates AND NJ Governor AND Mamdani wins NYC Mayor all win their elections? (24h volume: 160584)
