Kalshi has reported 8,808 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will the Federal Reserve hike rates by December 31, 2025?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 3% chance for "Before 2026", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 3% probability.
If the Federal Reserve hikes again by Dec 31, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 247,816 transactions since it was first opened on December 14, 2023. There are 85,472 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 21,554,033 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 1860185)
- Will a representative of the Democratic party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 246283)
- Will the Fed cut rates 0 times? (24h volume: 132875)
- Powell leaves before 2026? (24h volume: 122722)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.10? (24h volume: 79368)
- Will CPI rise more than 0.1% in August 2025? (24h volume: 34113)
- Will Trump release any documents about Epstein's associates before Jan 1, 2026? (24h volume: 31630)
- Will the Republican party win the governorship in New Jersey (24h volume: 23039)
- Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.6% for the year ending in August 2025? (24h volume: 21550)
- Will the S&P 500 be above 6524.9999 on Aug 25, 2025 at 4pm EDT? (24h volume: 18021)
