Kalshi has reported 54,571 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Abigail Spanberger win by 14 to 100 percentage points in Virginia?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 29% chance for "14% and above", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 29% probability.
If the margin of victory for Abigail Spanberger in 2025 Virginia gubernatorial election in Virginia falls within 14 to 100 percentage points, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 392,962 transactions since it was first opened on September 07, 2025. There are 300,218 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 9,753,835 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will a representative of the Andrew Cuomo party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 1167891)
- Will Jack Ciattarelli win the 2025 New Jersey gubernatorial election? (24h volume: 396638)
- Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2025 Virginia gubernatorial election? (24h volume: 292877)
- Will Curtis Sliwa drop out of the NYC Mayoral race? (24h volume: 177690)
- Will Mikie Sherrill win by 0 to 1.99 percentage points in New Jersey? (24h volume: 109163)
- Margin of victory for Zohran Mamdani in the Mayoral Election? (24h volume: 100010)
- Will Democrats win VA Governor AND VA House of Delegates AND NJ Governor AND Mamdani wins NYC Mayor all win their elections? (24h volume: 85710)
- Will the federal government shut down for more than 45 days? (24h volume: 67255)
- Will the federal government shut down for fewer than 92 days? (24h volume: 64943)
- Will tariffs on copper come into effect before Jan 2026? (24h volume: 60865)
