Kalshi has reported 22,217 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Abigail Spanberger win by 14 to 100 percentage points in Virginia?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 100% chance for "14% and above", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 100% probability.
If the margin of victory for Abigail Spanberger in 2025 Virginia gubernatorial election in Virginia falls within 14 to 100 percentage points, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 1,317,518 transactions since it was first opened on September 07, 2025. There are 558,262 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 5,055,069 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Nicolás Maduro out in November? (24h volume: 199038)
- Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their December 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 90614)
- Will the EUR/USD open price be below 1.14400 at Dec 1, 2025 at 10am EST? (24h volume: 84978)
- Nicolás Maduro out this year? (24h volume: 58186)
- Who will be elected President of Honduras in 2025? (24h volume: 56130)
- Donald Trump out this year? (24h volume: 40441)
- Will Trump next nominate Kevin Hassett as Fed Chair? (24h volume: 38727)
- Will Democratic win the House race for TN-7? (24h volume: 35005)
- Powell leaves before 2026? (24h volume: 34118)
- Will legislation extending enhanced ACA premium tax credits becomes law before Jan 1, 2026? (24h volume: 22929)
