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Markets bet on whether Musk will have a net worth more than 500 billion before Jan 1, 2026

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Kalshi has reported 13,323 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Musk have a net worth more than 500 billion before Jan 1, 2026?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 85% chance for "More than $500 billion", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 85% probability.

If Elon Musk has a net worth more than 500 billion dollars before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 271,231 transactions since it was first opened on November 19, 2024. There are 138,914 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 20,079,011 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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