Kalshi has reported 33,786 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Powell leaves before 2026?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 6% chance for "Before 2026", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 6% probability.
If Jerome Powell is no longer Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors (not merely announces he leaves office) by Dec 31, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 5,217,425 transactions since it was first opened on May 01, 2024. There are 1,388,277 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 50,429,245 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 518249)
- Lisa DeNell Cook out as Federal Reserve Governor before Jan 2026? (24h volume: 362892)
- Will the Democratic party win the governorship in New Jersey (24h volume: 181197)
- Will a representative of the Democratic party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 180198)
- Will the federal government shut down for more than 5 days? (24h volume: 140202)
- Will the Fed cut rates 5 times? (24h volume: 109206)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.10? (24h volume: 86353)
- Will the Republican party win the governorship in Virginia (24h volume: 61698)
- Will the S&P 500 be above 6699.9999 on Oct 1, 2025 at 4pm EDT? (24h volume: 54596)
- Will above 25000 jobs be added in September 2025? (24h volume: 51165)
