Kalshi has reported 29,333 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Powell leaves before 2026?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 3% chance for "Before 2026", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 3% probability.
If Jerome Powell is no longer Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors (not merely announces he leaves office) by Dec 31, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 6,184,649 transactions since it was first opened on May 01, 2024. There are 999,459 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 17,155,836 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their December 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 175575)
- Nicolás Maduro out in November? (24h volume: 91156)
- Nicolás Maduro out this year? (24h volume: 61903)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.00? (24h volume: 41240)
- Who will win the next presidential election? (24h volume: 34050)
- Powell leaves before 2026? (24h volume: 29333)
- Will Trump next nominate Scott Bessent as Fed Chair? (24h volume: 22894)
- Will Democrats win the House in 2026? (24h volume: 21240)
- Will Democratic win the House race for TN-7? (24h volume: 20440)
- Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve before Jan 1, 2026? (24h volume: 17280)
