Kalshi has reported 26,751 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Who will win the next presidential election?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 3% chance for "Kamala Harris", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 3% probability.
If Kamala Harris is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 199,058 transactions since it was first opened on May 10, 2025. There are 174,296 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 870,174,747 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their October 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 4531234)
- Will a representative of the Andrew Cuomo party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 1944480)
- Will Jack Ciattarelli win the 2025 New Jersey gubernatorial election? (24h volume: 329569)
- Will Curtis Sliwa drop out of the NYC Mayoral race? (24h volume: 229322)
- Donald Trump out this year? (24h volume: 222445)
- Will the U.S. control at least part of Greenland, Canada, and the Panama Canal before 2026? (24h volume: 187401)
- Will Democrats win VA Governor AND VA House of Delegates AND NJ Governor AND Mamdani wins NYC Mayor all win their elections? (24h volume: 176368)
- Will the federal government shut down for more than 40 days? (24h volume: 164970)
- Who will get second place in the Mayor? (24h volume: 100034)
- Margin of victory for Zohran Mamdani in the Mayoral Election? (24h volume: 93488)
