Kalshi has reported 516,083 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Nicolás Maduro out this year?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 5% chance for "Nicolás Maduro", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 5% probability.
If Nicolás Maduro leaves office before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 3,964,953 transactions since it was first opened on September 10, 2025. There are 2,240,012 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 48,233,056 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Nicolás Maduro out this year? (24h volume: 516083)
- Will Trump next nominate Judy Shelton as Fed Chair? (24h volume: 140925)
- Will the S&P 500 be between 7000 and 7199.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2025? (24h volume: 99268)
- Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their January 2026 meeting? (24h volume: 92175)
- Will Trump meet with Justin Trudeau before 2025? (24h volume: 72796)
- Will a NYSE marketwide circuitbreaker happen before 2026? (24h volume: 71179)
- Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2026? (24h volume: 70340)
- Will Trump release any documents about Epstein's associates before Dec 28, 2025? (24h volume: 55266)
- Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.0% in Q4 2025? (24h volume: 46071)
- Will Any Company acquire TikTok in 2025? (24h volume: 42716)