Kalshi has reported 37,525 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Donald J. Trump be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 5% chance for "Donald J. Trump", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 5% probability.
If Donald J. Trump wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 546,934 transactions since it was first opened on November 06, 2024. There are 346,113 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 385,838,594 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will a representative of the Eric Adams party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 476606)
- Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 109353)
- What will MrBeast say during Next MrBeast Youtube Video? (24h volume: 62742)
- Who will win the next presidential election? (24h volume: 57265)
- Will the federal government shut down for more than 10 days? (24h volume: 52278)
- Who will IPO in 2025? (24h volume: 39365)
- Will Donald J. Trump be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? (24h volume: 37525)
- Will James Comey be arrested before Jan 2027? (24h volume: 37239)
- Will the Fed cut rates 1 times? (24h volume: 34233)
- Will Musk have a net worth more than 500 billion before Jan 1, 2026? (24h volume: 24895)
