Kalshi has reported 2,491 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump Administration this year?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 24% chance for "Dan Bongino", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 24% probability.
If Dan Bongino leaves, or it is announced they will leave, their office before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 163,254 transactions since it was first opened on July 11, 2025. There are 49,709 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 4,866,601 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 120240)
- Will J.B. Pritzker be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party? (24h volume: 50580)
- Will a representative of the Democratic party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 44885)
- Will Trump release any documents about Epstein's associates before Jan 1, 2026? (24h volume: 37245)
- Will CPI rise more than 0.2% in July 2025? (24h volume: 34935)
- Will there be a recession in 2025? (24h volume: 26712)
- Who will win the next presidential election? (24h volume: 26383)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.10? (24h volume: 25908)
- Will the Fed cut rates 0 times? (24h volume: 22549)
- Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin before 2026? (24h volume: 19269)
