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Why CF Industries Holdings (CF) Stock Is Down Today

None

CF Industries Holdings (CF) is down 3.3% today. Here is some analysis on what might have caused this price movement.

Analysis: The sell-off appears tied to weaker sentiment across fertilizer names after President Donald Trump discussed a potential lower-cost potash supply arrangement with Belarus, which raised concerns that fertilizer prices could face pressure. CF also looks vulnerable to profit-taking because the stock had rallied sharply in recent months, while investors have been weighing signs that some nitrogen fertilizer prices have cooled from earlier peaks.

Details:

  • Fertilizer stocks broadly weakened this week after Trump said the United States was exploring cheaper potash purchases from Belarus, reviving fears of more competitive pricing across crop nutrients.
  • CF is mainly a nitrogen producer, not a potash producer, but investors often trade the major fertilizer names together when the market starts pricing in lower farm-input prices.
  • Recent fertilizer market data showed several retail fertilizer prices easing in early September, reinforcing the view that the extreme pricing tailwind from mid-2026 may be moderating.
  • CF’s own second-quarter update highlighted that earnings benefited from tight global nitrogen supply and disruption-driven pricing, so any sign of normalization can pressure the shares.
  • Sources:

    CF Industries Investor Relations, SEC, DTN, Reuters

    Disclaimer: This price movement analysis was generated with the help of AI. Please double-check the information provided for mistakes.

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    $CF Hedge Fund Activity

    We have seen 545 institutional investors add shares of $CF stock to their portfolio, and 477 decrease their positions in their most recent quarter.

    Here are some of the largest recent moves:

    • VICTORY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC removed 1,931,921 shares (-44.3%) from their portfolio in Q2 2026, for an estimated $209,149,767
    • FMR LLC removed 1,769,282 shares (-40.6%) from their portfolio in Q2 2026, for an estimated $191,542,469
    • SIXTH STREET PARTNERS MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P. added 1,631,618 shares (+inf%) to their portfolio in Q2 2026, for an estimated $176,638,964
    • PACER ADVISORS, INC. added 1,352,017 shares (+inf%) to their portfolio in Q2 2026, for an estimated $146,369,360
    • EMINENCE CAPITAL, LP removed 1,276,307 shares (-100.0%) from their portfolio in Q1 2026, for an estimated $169,276,597
    • CAPITAL WORLD INVESTORS added 1,151,000 shares (+53.0%) to their portfolio in Q2 2026, for an estimated $124,607,260
    • ASSETMARK, INC added 1,052,812 shares (+5708.8%) to their portfolio in Q2 2026, for an estimated $113,977,427

    To track hedge funds' stock portfolios, check out Quiver Quantitative's institutional holdings dashboard. You can access data on hedge funds moves and 13F filings through the Quiver Quantitative API 13F endpoint.

    $CF Congressional Stock Trading

    Members of Congress have traded $CF stock 1 times in the past 6 months. Of those trades, 1 have been purchases and 0 have been sales.

    Here’s a breakdown of recent trading of $CF stock by members of Congress over the last 6 months:

    To track congressional stock trading, check out Quiver Quantitative's congressional trading dashboard. You can access data on congressional stock trades through the Quiver Quantitative API Congress trades endpoint.

    $CF Price Targets

    Multiple analysts have issued price targets for $CF recently. We have seen 8 analysts offer price targets for $CF in the last 6 months, with a median target of $120.0.

    Here are some recent targets:

    • Vincent Andrews from Morgan Stanley set a target price of $115.0 on 07/07/2026
    • Ben Isaacson from Scotiabank set a target price of $125.0 on 06/30/2026
    • Graham Ryding from TD Cowen set a target price of $16.0 on 06/04/2026
    • Jeffrey Zekauskas from JP Morgan set a target price of $115.0 on 06/03/2026
    • Hamir Patel from CIBC set a target price of $128.0 on 04/30/2026
    • Benjamin Theurer from Barclays set a target price of $145.0 on 04/27/2026
    • Duffy Fischer from Goldman Sachs set a target price of $132.0 on 04/14/2026

    This article is not financial advice. See Quiver Quantitative's disclaimers for more information. Note that there may be inaccuracies due to mistakes in ticker-mapping, and other anomalies.

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