Why CF Industries (CF) Stock Is Down Today

CF Industries Holdings (CF) is down 4.6% today. Here is some analysis on what might have caused this price movement.

Analysis: A clear company-specific negative headline was not easy to pinpoint, so the move looks tied mainly to profit-taking ahead of earnings and a cooler near-term fertilizer price backdrop. This could be because investors are reassessing how much of this year’s nitrogen price surge can be sustained into the next quarter.

Details:

CF Industries recently confirmed it will report second-quarter 2026 results after the market close on August 5, which can pressure shares as investors trim positions before a major update.

The company’s first-quarter results were very strong, helped by higher nitrogen selling prices and a tight global supply-demand balance, setting a high bar for the next report.

Recent market data showed August 2026 U.S. Gulf urea futures down about 5%, suggesting some easing in fertilizer pricing from earlier elevated levels.

CF shares have already had a strong 2026 run, and earlier analyst downgrades argued that the rally may have gotten ahead of a more normal earnings outlook in later periods.

Sources:

CF Industries, SEC, Farmbucks, Investing.com

Disclaimer: This price movement analysis was generated with the help of AI. Please double-check the information provided for mistakes.

$CF Insider Trading Activity

$CF insiders have traded $CF stock on the open market 31 times in the past 6 months. Of those trades, 0 have been purchases and 31 have been sales.

Here’s a breakdown of recent trading of $CF stock by insiders over the last 6 months:

W ANTHONY WILL has made 0 purchases and 13 sales selling 552,594 shares for an estimated $59,198,479.
SUSAN L MENZEL (EVP and Chief Admin. Officer) has made 0 purchases and 5 sales selling 39,228 shares for an estimated $4,694,253.
BERT A FROST (EVP, Chief Commercial Officer) has made 0 purchases and 5 sales selling 32,886 shares for an estimated $3,984,270.
ASHRAF K MALIK (Sr. VP, Manufacturing & D'istn) has made 0 purchases and 2 sales selling 11,070 shares for an estimated $1,160,424.
RICHARD A HOKER (VP and Corporate Controller) has made 0 purchases and 2 sales selling 9,683 shares for an estimated $1,114,801.
MICHAEL PATRICK MCGRANE (SVP, Gen. Counsel & Secretary) has made 0 purchases and 2 sales selling 6,432 shares for an estimated $718,514.
ERIK M. MAYER (VP, Clean Energy & BusDevelop) has made 0 purchases and 2 sales selling 3,700 shares for an estimated $442,784.

To track insider transactions, check out Quiver Quantitative's insider trading dashboard. You can access data on insider stock transactions through the Quiver Quantitative API insider transaction endpoint.

$CF Hedge Fund Activity

We have seen 470 institutional investors add shares of $CF stock to their portfolio, and 398 decrease their positions in their most recent quarter.

Here are some of the largest recent moves:

CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC removed 4,573,649 shares (-73.6%) from their portfolio in Q1 2026, for an estimated $606,603,066
CAPITAL WORLD INVESTORS added 2,170,883 shares (+inf%) to their portfolio in Q1 2026, for an estimated $287,924,212
EMINENCE CAPITAL, LP removed 1,276,307 shares (-100.0%) from their portfolio in Q1 2026, for an estimated $169,276,597
BOSTON PARTNERS removed 1,207,050 shares (-34.3%) from their portfolio in Q1 2026, for an estimated $160,091,041
ASSETMARK, INC added 1,052,812 shares (+5708.8%) to their portfolio in Q2 2026, for an estimated $113,977,427
MORGAN STANLEY removed 986,844 shares (-29.4%) from their portfolio in Q1 2026, for an estimated $130,885,119
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC added 890,983 shares (+20.8%) to their portfolio in Q1 2026, for an estimated $118,171,075

To track hedge funds' stock portfolios, check out Quiver Quantitative's institutional holdings dashboard. You can access data on hedge funds moves and 13F filings through the Quiver Quantitative API 13F endpoint.

$CF Congressional Stock Trading

Members of Congress have traded $CF stock 1 times in the past 6 months. Of those trades, 1 have been purchases and 0 have been sales.

Here’s a breakdown of recent trading of $CF stock by members of Congress over the last 6 months:

SENATOR ALAN ARMSTRONG purchased up to $15,000 on 03/27.

To track congressional stock trading, check out Quiver Quantitative's congressional trading dashboard. You can access data on congressional stock trades through the Quiver Quantitative API Congress trades endpoint.

$CF Analyst Ratings

Wall Street analysts have issued reports on $CF in the last several months. We have seen 0 firms issue buy ratings on the stock, and 1 firms issue sell ratings.

Here are some recent analyst ratings:

Mizuho issued a "Underperform" rating on 03/18/2026

To track analyst ratings and price targets for $CF, check out Quiver Quantitative's $CF forecast page.

$CF Price Targets

Multiple analysts have issued price targets for $CF recently. We have seen 13 analysts offer price targets for $CF in the last 6 months, with a median target of $125.0.

Here are some recent targets:

Vincent Andrews from Morgan Stanley set a target price of $115.0 on 07/07/2026
Ben Isaacson from Scotiabank set a target price of $125.0 on 06/30/2026
Graham Ryding from TD Cowen set a target price of $16.0 on 06/04/2026
Jeffrey Zekauskas from JP Morgan set a target price of $115.0 on 06/03/2026
Hamir Patel from CIBC set a target price of $128.0 on 04/30/2026
Benjamin Theurer from Barclays set a target price of $145.0 on 04/27/2026
Duffy Fischer from Goldman Sachs set a target price of $132.0 on 04/14/2026

This article is not financial advice. See Quiver Quantitative's disclaimers for more information. Note that there may be inaccuracies due to mistakes in ticker-mapping, and other anomalies.