CF Industries gains as dividend update and firmer nitrogen pricing support sentiment

CF Industries Holdings (CF) is up 3.8% today. Here is some analysis on what might have caused this price movement.

Analysis: The move appears tied to a mix of company-specific and industry factors rather than one major surprise. Investors may be responding to CF Industries’ October 7 dividend declaration and confirmed November 4 earnings date, while stronger urea pricing has also improved the backdrop for nitrogen producers.

Details:

CF Industries said on October 7 that its board declared a $0.60 per share quarterly dividend, payable on November 30, 2026, and also confirmed its third-quarter results will be released after the market close on November 4, 2026.

Recent fertilizer market data showed U.S. distributor asking prices for urea rose about 9.1% week over week to $796.25 per short ton for the week ending October 2, a constructive sign for nitrogen pricing.

In its latest quarterly update, CF Industries reported first-half 2026 net earnings of $1.34 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $2.18 billion, helped by higher average selling prices tied to a tighter global nitrogen supply-demand balance.

The company also said it repurchased 2.0 million shares for $230 million during the second quarter and has continued investing in its Blue Point low-carbon ammonia project, reinforcing its capital return and growth story.

Sources:

CF Industries, SEC, Nasdaq

Disclaimer: This price movement analysis was generated with the help of AI. Please double-check the information provided for mistakes.

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$CF Hedge Fund Activity

We have seen 519 institutional investors add shares of $CF stock to their portfolio, and 406 decrease their positions in their most recent quarter.

Here are some of the largest recent moves:

VICTORY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC removed 1,931,921 shares (-44.3%) from their portfolio in Q2 2026, for an estimated $209,149,767
FMR LLC removed 1,769,282 shares (-40.6%) from their portfolio in Q2 2026, for an estimated $191,542,469
SIXTH STREET PARTNERS MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P. added 1,631,618 shares (+inf%) to their portfolio in Q2 2026, for an estimated $176,638,964
PACER ADVISORS, INC. added 1,352,017 shares (+inf%) to their portfolio in Q2 2026, for an estimated $146,369,360
CAPITAL WORLD INVESTORS added 1,151,000 shares (+53.0%) to their portfolio in Q2 2026, for an estimated $124,607,260
ASSETMARK, INC added 1,052,812 shares (+5708.8%) to their portfolio in Q2 2026, for an estimated $113,977,427
MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC removed 976,176 shares (-96.7%) from their portfolio in Q2 2026, for an estimated $105,680,813

To track hedge funds' stock portfolios, check out Quiver Quantitative's institutional holdings dashboard. You can access data on hedge funds moves and 13F filings through the Quiver Quantitative API 13F endpoint.

$CF Price Targets

Multiple analysts have issued price targets for $CF recently. We have seen 7 analysts offer price targets for $CF in the last 6 months, with a median target of $125.0.

Here are some recent targets:

Vincent Andrews from Morgan Stanley set a target price of $115.0 on 07/07/2026
Ben Isaacson from Scotiabank set a target price of $125.0 on 06/30/2026
Graham Ryding from TD Cowen set a target price of $16.0 on 06/04/2026
Jeffrey Zekauskas from JP Morgan set a target price of $115.0 on 06/03/2026
Hamir Patel from CIBC set a target price of $128.0 on 04/30/2026
Benjamin Theurer from Barclays set a target price of $145.0 on 04/27/2026
Duffy Fischer from Goldman Sachs set a target price of $132.0 on 04/14/2026

This article is not financial advice. See Quiver Quantitative's disclaimers for more information. Note that there may be inaccuracies due to mistakes in ticker-mapping, and other anomalies.