Valero Energy (VLO) is up 4.0% today. Here is some analysis on what might have caused this price movement.
Analysis: The most likely driver is another move higher in refining-margin expectations, especially for diesel, as fuel markets remain tight and geopolitical shipping risk stays elevated. Valero is highly leveraged to crack spreads, so investors often bid the stock up when disruptions point to stronger profits for refiners.
Details:
Sources:
U.S. Energy Information Administration, SEC, Associated Press
Disclaimer: This price movement analysis was generated with the help of AI. Please double-check the information provided for mistakes.
$VLO Insider Trading Activity
$VLO insiders have traded $VLO stock on the open market 3 times in the past 6 months. Of those trades, 0 have been purchases and 3 have been sales.
Here’s a breakdown of recent trading of $VLO stock by insiders over the last 6 months:
- ERIC A FISHER (SVP) has made 0 purchases and 3 sales selling 22,500 shares for an estimated $5,675,152.
To track insider transactions, check out Quiver Quantitative's insider trading dashboard. You can access data on insider stock transactions through the Quiver Quantitative API insider transaction endpoint.
$VLO Hedge Fund Activity
We have seen 904 institutional investors add shares of $VLO stock to their portfolio, and 798 decrease their positions in their most recent quarter.
Here are some of the largest recent moves:
- PRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/ removed 4,209,220 shares (-51.8%) from their portfolio in Q2 2026, for an estimated $1,096,249,256
- SIXTH STREET PARTNERS MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P. added 2,748,653 shares (+inf%) to their portfolio in Q2 2026, for an estimated $715,859,187
- JPMORGAN CHASE & CO added 2,199,990 shares (+inf%) to their portfolio in Q2 2026, for an estimated $572,965,395
- AQR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC added 1,330,979 shares (+193.1%) to their portfolio in Q2 2026, for an estimated $346,640,170
- AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL INC removed 1,314,818 shares (-20.1%) from their portfolio in Q2 2026, for an estimated $342,431,199
- VICTORY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC removed 1,086,570 shares (-64.0%) from their portfolio in Q2 2026, for an estimated $282,986,290
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC removed 1,019,200 shares (-12.3%) from their portfolio in Q2 2026, for an estimated $265,440,448
To track hedge funds' stock portfolios, check out Quiver Quantitative's institutional holdings dashboard. You can access data on hedge funds moves and 13F filings through the Quiver Quantitative API 13F endpoint.
$VLO Price Targets
Multiple analysts have issued price targets for $VLO recently. We have seen 9 analysts offer price targets for $VLO in the last 6 months, with a median target of $263.0.
Here are some recent targets:
- Theresa Chen from Barclays set a target price of $279.0 on 07/01/2026
- Jason Gabelman from TD Cowen set a target price of $292.0 on 06/29/2026
- Joe Laetsch from Morgan Stanley set a target price of $255.0 on 06/12/2026
- Nitin Kumar from Mizuho set a target price of $289.0 on 05/27/2026
- Vikram Bagri from Citigroup set a target price of $259.0 on 05/01/2026
- Betty Zhang from Scotiabank set a target price of $226.0 on 04/22/2026
- Doug Leggate from Wolfe Research set a target price of $203.0 on 04/21/2026
This article is not financial advice. See Quiver Quantitative's disclaimers for more information. Note that there may be inaccuracies due to mistakes in ticker-mapping, and other anomalies.
