Why AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) Stock Is Down Today

AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) is down 3.1% today. Here is some analysis on what might have caused this price movement.

Analysis: The most likely driver is AGNC trading ex-dividend on September 30, which often causes income stocks to fall by roughly the value of the payout when new buyers are no longer entitled to receive it. Pressure from elevated Treasury yields likely added to the move because AGNC’s mortgage-backed securities portfolio and book value are sensitive to higher rates and wider mortgage spreads. ([investors.agnc.com](https://investors.agnc.com/stock-information/dividend-history))

Details:

AGNC’s investor relations site lists September 30, 2026 as the ex-dividend date for its $0.12 monthly common dividend, with payment scheduled for October 9, 2026. ([investors.agnc.com](https://investors.agnc.com/stock-information/dividend-history))

Long-term Treasury yields were near multi-decade highs this week, creating a tougher backdrop for rate-sensitive equities and mortgage REITs. ([apnews.com](https://apnews.com/article/69778ade7a033a10cb44b9078b6bb15d))

AGNC disclosed in its latest quarterly filing that a 50-basis-point rise in rates would be estimated to reduce tangible net book value per common share by 5.3% in a static scenario. ([investors.agnc.com](https://investors.agnc.com/static-files/ff8231ee-8201-4067-8f81-1b28b7048bcd))

The same filing shows AGNC is also exposed to mortgage spread widening, which can further weigh on portfolio value even with hedges in place. ([investors.agnc.com](https://investors.agnc.com/static-files/ff8231ee-8201-4067-8f81-1b28b7048bcd))

Sources:

AGNC Investment Corp., SEC, Associated Press

Disclaimer: This price movement analysis was generated with the help of AI. Please double-check the information provided for mistakes.

$AGNC Insider Trading Activity

$AGNC insiders have traded $AGNC stock on the open market 8 times in the past 6 months. Of those trades, 0 have been purchases and 8 have been sales.

Here’s a breakdown of recent trading of $AGNC stock by insiders over the last 6 months:

PETER J FEDERICO (Director, President, CEO, CIO) has made 0 purchases and 3 sales selling 193,234 shares for an estimated $2,126,604.
BERNICE BELL (EVP, CFO) has made 0 purchases and 4 sales selling 30,000 shares for an estimated $328,920.
PAUL E MULLINGS sold 6,800 shares for an estimated $73,032

To track insider transactions, check out Quiver Quantitative's insider trading dashboard. You can access data on insider stock transactions through the Quiver Quantitative API insider transaction endpoint.

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$AGNC Hedge Fund Activity

We have seen 389 institutional investors add shares of $AGNC stock to their portfolio, and 230 decrease their positions in their most recent quarter.

Here are some of the largest recent moves:

SIXTH STREET PARTNERS MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P. added 8,146,540 shares (+inf%) to their portfolio in Q2 2026, for an estimated $88,797,286
VAUGHAN NELSON INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, L.P. added 6,048,882 shares (+inf%) to their portfolio in Q2 2026, for an estimated $65,932,813
MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC removed 4,801,770 shares (-95.9%) from their portfolio in Q2 2026, for an estimated $52,339,293
HRT FINANCIAL LP added 4,354,395 shares (+inf%) to their portfolio in Q2 2026, for an estimated $47,462,905
UBS GROUP AG added 4,220,736 shares (+18.3%) to their portfolio in Q2 2026, for an estimated $46,006,022
BLACKROCK, INC. added 4,174,076 shares (+6.9%) to their portfolio in Q2 2026, for an estimated $45,497,428
QUBE RESEARCH & TECHNOLOGIES LTD removed 4,024,820 shares (-51.7%) from their portfolio in Q2 2026, for an estimated $43,870,538

To track hedge funds' stock portfolios, check out Quiver Quantitative's institutional holdings dashboard. You can access data on hedge funds moves and 13F filings through the Quiver Quantitative API 13F endpoint.

$AGNC Price Targets

Multiple analysts have issued price targets for $AGNC recently. We have seen 3 analysts offer price targets for $AGNC in the last 6 months, with a median target of $11.0.

Here are some recent targets:

Crispin Love from Piper Sandler set a target price of $12.0 on 07/02/2026
Marissa Lobo from UBS set a target price of $11.0 on 04/24/2026
Richard Shane from JP Morgan set a target price of $11.0 on 04/16/2026

This article is not financial advice. See Quiver Quantitative's disclaimers for more information. Note that there may be inaccuracies due to mistakes in ticker-mapping, and other anomalies.