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Onto Innovation falls as chip-equipment stocks pull back and investors weigh planned $710M Rigaku stake

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Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO) is down 6.9% today. Here is some analysis on what might have caused this price movement.

Analysis: The drop appears tied to a broader pullback in semiconductor-related names alongside some post-earnings repositioning. Investors may also be reassessing the company’s planned ~$710 million minority stake in Rigaku, which adds execution and capital-allocation questions even as Onto’s underlying demand narrative remains constructive.

Details:

  • Semiconductor stocks were weak on the day, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index trading lower intraday, creating a softer backdrop for chip equipment and process-control names.
  • Onto’s recent filing/earnings materials highlighted a planned purchase of a 27% ownership stake in Rigaku for approximately $710 million, with the transaction expected to close in the second half of 2026.
  • In its Q1 2026 results package, Onto posted revenue of $291.9 million and guided Q2 2026 revenue to $320 million–$330 million, with non-GAAP diluted EPS guided to $1.65–$1.73.
  • The same release showed $654 million of cash and short-term investments at quarter end, suggesting the market may be focused less on near-term liquidity and more on deal and cycle risk after a strong multi-month run.
  • Sources:

    SEC, Rigaku Holdings Corporation, Cnyes

    Disclaimer: This price movement analysis was generated with the help of AI. Please double-check the information provided for mistakes.

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    $ONTO Hedge Fund Activity

    We have seen 321 institutional investors add shares of $ONTO stock to their portfolio, and 265 decrease their positions in their most recent quarter.

    Here are some of the largest recent moves:

    To track hedge funds' stock portfolios, check out Quiver Quantitative's institutional holdings dashboard. You can access data on hedge funds moves and 13F filings through the Quiver Quantitative API 13F endpoint.

    $ONTO Government Contracts

    We have seen $4,628,905 of award payments to $ONTO over the last year.

    Here are some of the awards which we have have seen pay out the most over the last year:

    To track government contracts to publicy traded companies, check out Quiver Quantitative's government contracts dashboard. You can access data on government contracts through the Quiver Quantitative API government contracts endpoint.

    $ONTO Analyst Ratings

    Wall Street analysts have issued reports on $ONTO in the last several months. We have seen 2 firms issue buy ratings on the stock, and 0 firms issue sell ratings.

    Here are some recent analyst ratings:

    • Needham issued a "Buy" rating on 01/20/2026
    • B. Riley Securities issued a "Buy" rating on 01/15/2026

    To track analyst ratings and price targets for $ONTO, check out Quiver Quantitative's $ONTO forecast page.

    $ONTO Price Targets

    Multiple analysts have issued price targets for $ONTO recently. We have seen 7 analysts offer price targets for $ONTO in the last 6 months, with a median target of $330.0.

    Here are some recent targets:

    • Charles Shi from Needham set a target price of $330.0 on 05/06/2026
    • Brian Chin from Stifel set a target price of $350.0 on 04/17/2026
    • Mark Lipacis from Evercore ISI Group set a target price of $315.0 on 04/17/2026
    • Edward Yang from Oppenheimer set a target price of $350.0 on 04/17/2026
    • Craig Ellis from B. Riley Securities set a target price of $330.0 on 04/17/2026
    • Matthew Prisco from Cantor Fitzgerald set a target price of $300.0 on 04/06/2026
    • Blayne Curtis from Jefferies set a target price of $200.0 on 12/15/2025

    This article is not financial advice. See Quiver Quantitative's disclaimers for more information. Note that there may be inaccuracies due to mistakes in ticker-mapping, and other anomalies.

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