Kalshi has reported 6,446 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Government shutdown in 2025?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 38% chance for "Before 2026", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 38% probability.
If the government is shutdown at any 10:00 AM ET before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 707,179 transactions since it was first opened on November 05, 2024. There are 145,987 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 207,236,252 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will Jon Stewart be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party? (24h volume: 198530)
- Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their September 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 102217)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.152? (24h volume: 61262)
- Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin before 2026? (24h volume: 37879)
- Will CPI rise more than 0.1% in July 2025? (24h volume: 36433)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.10? (24h volume: 30102)
- Will there be a recession in 2025? (24h volume: 24557)
- Will a representative of the Andrew Cuomo party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 23025)
- Who will IPO in 2025? (24h volume: 19429)
- Powell leaves before 2026? (24h volume: 15684)
