Kalshi has reported 26,737 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will the federal government shut down for more than 3 days?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 74% chance for "More than 3 days", which is up from yesterday, when the market implied a 72% probability.
If the U.S. federal government is at least partially shut down for above 3 days between Sep 5, 2025 and Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 37,275 transactions since it was first opened on September 05, 2025. There are 25,722 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 2,550,730 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the government be shut down on October 01? (24h volume: 1382919)
- Will a representative of the Democratic party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 278478)
- Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 277885)
- Will the Democratic party win the governorship in New Jersey (24h volume: 237811)
- Government shutdown in 2025? (24h volume: 220757)
- Will tariffs on any sector come into effect before Oct 2025? (24h volume: 106061)
- Will above 25000 jobs be added in September 2025? (24h volume: 60528)
- Will Eric Adams endorse Andrew Cuomo in 2025 NYC Mayoral Race? (24h volume: 38565)
- Will Matt Gaetz be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? (24h volume: 37126)
- Will the Fed cut rates 1 times? (24h volume: 30603)
