Kalshi has reported 6,960 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “State of the economy at the end of 2025?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 92% chance for "Soft landing", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 92% probability.
If the BLS reports that the unemployment rate is Below 5% and inflation (measured as percent change from year ago) is below 5% in Dec 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 16,405 transactions since it was first opened on May 13, 2025. There are 5,764 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 1,377,350 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 175802)
- Will CPI rise more than 0.2% in July 2025? (24h volume: 91410)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.152? (24h volume: 78636)
- Will a representative of the Andrew Cuomo party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 57397)
- Who will IPO in 2025? (24h volume: 41079)
- Will the Fed cut rates 5 times? (24h volume: 40671)
- Powell leaves before 2026? (24h volume: 38318)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.10? (24h volume: 32116)
- Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.7% for the year ending in July 2025? (24h volume: 27000)
- Will Trump next nominate Christopher Waller as Fed Chair? (24h volume: 26019)
