Kalshi has reported 2,659 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will there be more than 250000 government employees cut before Jan 2026?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 64% chance for "More than 250,000", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 64% probability.
If there are more than 250,000 federal employees no longer working, relative to the January 2025 employee count before January 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 297,468 transactions since it was first opened on November 12, 2024. There are 79,053 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 4,880,186 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 120240)
- Will J.B. Pritzker be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party? (24h volume: 50580)
- Will a representative of the Democratic party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 44885)
- Will Trump release any documents about Epstein's associates before Jan 1, 2026? (24h volume: 37245)
- Will CPI rise more than 0.2% in July 2025? (24h volume: 34935)
- Will there be a recession in 2025? (24h volume: 26712)
- Who will win the next presidential election? (24h volume: 26383)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.10? (24h volume: 25908)
- Will the Fed cut rates 0 times? (24h volume: 22549)
- Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin before 2026? (24h volume: 19269)
