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Markets bet on whether above 50,000 jobs will be added in September 2025

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Kalshi has reported 19,274 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will above 50000 jobs be added in September 2025?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 38% chance for "Above 50,000", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 38% probability.

If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 50000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of September 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 44,085 transactions since it was first opened on August 22, 2025. There are 41,007 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 1,365,167 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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