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Markets bet on whether Tesla robotaxi will be released to public before Jan 1, 2026

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Kalshi has reported 17,622 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Tesla robotaxi released to public before Jan 1, 2026?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 68% chance for "Before 2026", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 68% probability.

If Tesla has released its robotaxi service to the public before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 505,487 transactions since it was first opened on April 12, 2024. There are 229,132 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 20,485,771 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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