Kalshi has reported 4,149 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “How many deportations in Trump's first year?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 14% chance for "At least 500,000", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 14% probability.
If there are at least 500,000 removals or expulsions from the United States by ICE in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 222,350 transactions since it was first opened on December 05, 2024. There are 82,551 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 27,145,415 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their September 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 201548)
- Will Wes Moore be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party? (24h volume: 81225)
- Will Thomas Massie be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? (24h volume: 79721)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.15? (24h volume: 53668)
- Will CPI rise more than 0.3% in August 2025? (24h volume: 34795)
- Will a representative of the Andrew Cuomo party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 27795)
- Will SpaceX launch another Starship by Aug 24, 2025? (24h volume: 16790)
- Lisa DeNell Cook out as Federal Reserve Governor before Jan 2026? (24h volume: 15568)
- Will Trump next nominate David Zervos as Fed Chair? (24h volume: 12826)
- What cities will Trump send the National Guard to in 2025? (24h volume: 12475)
