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Markets bet on whether Samuel Doria Medina will win Bolivia's Presidential Runoff

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Kalshi has reported 12,985 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Who will win Bolivia's Presidential Runoff?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 28% chance for "Samuel Doria Medina", which is down from yesterday, when the market implied a 37% probability.

If Samuel Doria Medina advances to Bolivia's Presidential Runoff expected to be held in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 16,801 transactions since it was first opened on August 12, 2025. There are 11,687 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 419,839 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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