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Markets bet on whether Proposition 50 in California will pass

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Kalshi has reported 7,059 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Proposition 50 in California pass?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 93% chance for "In 2025", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 93% probability.

If Proposition 50 in California passes, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 56,349 transactions since it was first opened on August 29, 2025. There are 47,761 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 2,877,544 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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