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Markets bet on whether Paul Ingrassia will be confirmed as Special Counsel before Jan 1, 2026

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Kalshi has reported 17,483 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Paul Ingrassia be confirmed as Special Counsel, Office of Special Counsel before Jan 1, 2026?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 1% chance for "Paul Ingrassia", which is down from yesterday, when the market implied a 2% probability.

If Paul Ingrassia is confirmed as Special Counsel, Office of Special Counsel before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 17,883 transactions since it was first opened on October 20, 2025. There are 13,920 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 1,723,963 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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