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Markets bet on whether PVV will win a plurality of seats in the Netherlands election

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Kalshi has reported 43,895 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Who will win the election in the Netherlands?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 40% chance for "PVV", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 40% probability.

If PVV wins a plurality of seats in the next general election in the Netherlands in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 141,074 transactions since it was first opened on June 05, 2025. There are 69,719 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 3,117,336 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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