Kalshi has reported 24,811 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Wil James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Texas?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 53% chance for "James Talarico", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 53% probability.
If James Talarico wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Class II Texas Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 50,891 transactions since it was first opened on July 15, 2025. There are 39,178 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 719,569 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 346609)
- Will a representative of the Andrew Cuomo party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 164788)
- Will the federal government shut down for more than 40 days? (24h volume: 148962)
- Will the Republican party win the governorship in New Jersey (24h volume: 88286)
- Will the Republican party win the governorship in Virginia (24h volume: 58151)
- Will the Fed cut rates 2 times? (24h volume: 49035)
- Will the S&P 500 be between 7000 and 7199.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2025? (24h volume: 48893)
- What will Donald Trump say during Medal of Freedom Ceremony for Charlie Kirk on October 14th? (24h volume: 46303)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.10? (24h volume: 42622)
- Will Curtis Sliwa drop out of the NYC Mayoral race? (24h volume: 31624)
