Kalshi has reported 5,087 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Democratic win the House race for VA-11?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 99% chance for "Democratic party", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 99% probability.
If the House member sworn in for VA-11 for the term beginning in 2025 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 5,462 transactions since it was first opened on July 17, 2025. There are 5,462 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 70,619,119 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their September 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 201548)
- Will Wes Moore be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party? (24h volume: 81225)
- Will Thomas Massie be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? (24h volume: 79721)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.15? (24h volume: 53668)
- Will CPI rise more than 0.3% in August 2025? (24h volume: 34795)
- Will a representative of the Andrew Cuomo party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 27795)
- Will SpaceX launch another Starship by Aug 24, 2025? (24h volume: 16790)
- Lisa DeNell Cook out as Federal Reserve Governor before Jan 2026? (24h volume: 15568)
- Will Trump next nominate David Zervos as Fed Chair? (24h volume: 12826)
- What cities will Trump send the National Guard to in 2025? (24h volume: 12475)
