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Markets bet on whether Curtis Sliwa will drop out of the NYC Mayoral race

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Kalshi has reported 247,781 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Curtis Sliwa drop out of the NYC Mayoral race?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 2% chance for "Curtis Sliwa", which is down from yesterday, when the market implied a 3% probability.

If Curtis Sliwa drops out of NYC Mayoral race before Nov 4, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 3,039,233 transactions since it was first opened on July 14, 2025. There are 1,550,640 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 4,655,144 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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