US Foods falls 3.1% as investors digest recent guidance and an analyst downgrade

US Foods Holding Corp. (USFD) is down 3.1% today. Here is some analysis on what might have caused this price movement.

Analysis: The move looks consistent with a post-earnings pullback as investors reassess valuation after management’s upbeat FY2026 growth targets, alongside lingering sensitivity to volume/mix and cost volatility in food distribution. The decline may also reflect incremental pressure from a recent sell-side downgrade, plus a softer tape for U.S. equities.

Details:

US Foods’ Feb. 12, 2026 earnings release highlighted FY2026 targets that include net sales growth of 4%–6%, adjusted EBITDA growth of 9%–13%, and adjusted diluted EPS growth of 18%–24%, which can set a high bar for subsequent trading days.

The same release noted risks that can impact near-term sentiment for distributors, including commodity and fuel cost volatility, extreme weather, and shifts in customer traffic and eating habits.

An analyst action in mid-February 2026 moved USFD to a more neutral stance, which can trigger profit-taking or rebalancing, especially after strength around results and guidance.

Broader market weakness in recent sessions has weighed on many stocks, which could have amplified selling in a liquid mid-cap name like USFD.

Sources:

US Foods Investor Relations, Fintel, Associated Press

Disclaimer: This price movement analysis was generated with the help of AI. Please double-check the information provided for mistakes.

$USFD Insider Trading Activity

$USFD insiders have traded $USFD stock on the open market 3 times in the past 6 months. Of those trades, 0 have been purchases and 3 have been sales.

Here’s a breakdown of recent trading of $USFD stock by insiders over the last 6 months:

JAMES DAVID JR WORKS (See Remarks) has made 0 purchases and 2 sales selling 65,737 shares for an estimated $6,345,128.
STEVEN GUBERMAN (See Remarks) sold 58,632 shares for an estimated $4,221,504

To track insider transactions, check out Quiver Quantitative's insider trading dashboard.

$USFD Hedge Fund Activity

We have seen 295 institutional investors add shares of $USFD stock to their portfolio, and 416 decrease their positions in their most recent quarter.

Here are some of the largest recent moves:

PRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/ added 3,353,396 shares (+412.9%) to their portfolio in Q4 2025, for an estimated $252,577,786
UBS AM, A DISTINCT BUSINESS UNIT OF UBS ASSET MANAGEMENT AMERICAS LLC removed 2,873,433 shares (-70.5%) from their portfolio in Q4 2025, for an estimated $216,426,973
BANK OF MONTREAL /CAN/ added 2,831,573 shares (+8056.1%) to their portfolio in Q4 2025, for an estimated $213,274,078
DORSAL CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LP removed 2,525,000 shares (-100.0%) from their portfolio in Q4 2025, for an estimated $190,182,999
SACHEM HEAD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LP removed 1,490,000 shares (-100.0%) from their portfolio in Q3 2025, for an estimated $114,163,800
MASSACHUSETTS FINANCIAL SERVICES CO /MA/ removed 1,221,211 shares (-21.4%) from their portfolio in Q4 2025, for an estimated $91,981,612
CAPITAL WORLD INVESTORS added 1,197,360 shares (+10.3%) to their portfolio in Q4 2025, for an estimated $90,185,155

To track hedge funds' stock portfolios, check out Quiver Quantitative's institutional holdings dashboard.

$USFD Government Contracts

We have seen $469,852,974 of award payments to $USFD over the last year.

Here are some of the awards which we have have seen pay out the most over the last year:

EXPRESS REPORT: SUBSISTENCE PRIME VENDOR (SPV)FY2026 NOVEMBER: $23,386,057
EXPRESS REPORT: SUBSISTENCE PRIME VENDOR (SPV)FY2025 JULY: $13,263,196
EXPRESS REPORT: SUBSISTENCE PRIME VENDOR (SPV)FY2026 OCTOBER: $13,083,092
EXPRESS REPORT: SUBSISTENCE PRIME VENDOR (SPV)FY2025 MAY: $12,535,942
EXPRESS REPORT: SUBSISTENCE PRIME VENDOR (SPV)FY2025 APRIL: $12,302,643

To track government contracts to publicy traded companies, check out Quiver Quantitative's government contracts dashboard.

$USFD Congressional Stock Trading

Members of Congress have traded $USFD stock 1 times in the past 6 months. Of those trades, 0 have been purchases and 1 have been sales.

Here’s a breakdown of recent trading of $USFD stock by members of Congress over the last 6 months:

REPRESENTATIVE VAL T. HOYLE sold up to $15,000 on 09/23.

To track congressional stock trading, check out Quiver Quantitative's congressional trading dashboard.

$USFD Analyst Ratings

Wall Street analysts have issued reports on $USFD in the last several months. We have seen 3 firms issue buy ratings on the stock, and 0 firms issue sell ratings.

Here are some recent analyst ratings:

BTIG issued a "Buy" rating on 02/13/2026
Barclays issued a "Overweight" rating on 11/07/2025
Bernstein issued a "Outperform" rating on 10/22/2025

To track analyst ratings and price targets for $USFD, check out Quiver Quantitative's $USFD forecast page.

$USFD Price Targets

Multiple analysts have issued price targets for $USFD recently. We have seen 8 analysts offer price targets for $USFD in the last 6 months, with a median target of $110.0.

Here are some recent targets:

Brian Mullan from Piper Sandler set a target price of $103.0 on 02/13/2026
Jeffrey Bernstein from Barclays set a target price of $104.0 on 02/13/2026
Peter Saleh from BTIG set a target price of $110.0 on 02/13/2026
Kelly Bania from BMO Capital set a target price of $115.0 on 02/13/2026
John Heinbockel from Guggenheim set a target price of $115.0 on 02/13/2026
Edward Kelly from Wells Fargo set a target price of $110.0 on 02/13/2026
Karen Holthouse from Citigroup set a target price of $118.0 on 02/13/2026

This article is not financial advice. See Quiver Quantitative's disclaimers for more information. Note that there may be inaccuracies due to mistakes in ticker-mapping, and other anomalies.