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TopBuild jumps as QXO agrees to buy the company in $17B cash-and-stock deal

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TopBuild Corp. (BLD) is up 16.1% today. Here is some analysis on what might have caused this price movement.

Analysis: The stock appears to be rallying after TopBuild agreed to be acquired by QXO in a cash-and-stock transaction that implies a meaningful premium to TopBuild’s prior close. Deal-arbitrage positioning and expectations for strategic scale and integration synergies may also be contributing to the sharp move.

Details:

  • TopBuild entered a definitive merger agreement to be acquired by QXO in a transaction valued at roughly $17 billion.
  • TopBuild shareholders can elect to receive either $505.00 in cash or 20.200 shares of QXO common stock for each TopBuild share, with proration mechanics that target an overall mix of approximately 45% cash and 55% stock.
  • The implied offer value represents a premium to TopBuild’s recent trading levels, which typically drives immediate upside as the market reprices shares toward the deal consideration.
  • The transaction was approved by both companies’ boards and is expected to require customary approvals and closing conditions, including shareholder approvals.
  • Sources:

    QXO Investor Relations, U.S. SEC (Form 425), Investing.com

    Disclaimer: This price movement analysis was generated with the help of AI. Please double-check the information provided for mistakes.

    $BLD Insider Trading Activity

    BLD Insider Trades

    $BLD insiders have traded $BLD stock on the open market 3 times in the past 6 months. Of those trades, 0 have been purchases and 3 have been sales.

    Here’s a breakdown of recent trading of $BLD stock by insiders over the last 6 months:

    • ROBERT M BUCK (President and CEO) has made 0 purchases and 2 sales selling 10,000 shares for an estimated $4,357,000.
    • LUIS FRANCISCO MACHADO (VP, Gen. Counsel, Corp Sec.) sold 1,000 shares for an estimated $450,400

    To track insider transactions, check out Quiver Quantitative's insider trading dashboard.

    $BLD Hedge Fund Activity

    We have seen 216 institutional investors add shares of $BLD stock to their portfolio, and 300 decrease their positions in their most recent quarter.

    Here are some of the largest recent moves:

    To track hedge funds' stock portfolios, check out Quiver Quantitative's institutional holdings dashboard.

    $BLD Analyst Ratings

    Wall Street analysts have issued reports on $BLD in the last several months. We have seen 2 firms issue buy ratings on the stock, and 0 firms issue sell ratings.

    Here are some recent analyst ratings:

    • Wells Fargo issued a "Overweight" rating on 11/17/2025
    • Benchmark issued a "Buy" rating on 11/05/2025

    To track analyst ratings and price targets for $BLD, check out Quiver Quantitative's $BLD forecast page.

    $BLD Price Targets

    Multiple analysts have issued price targets for $BLD recently. We have seen 6 analysts offer price targets for $BLD in the last 6 months, with a median target of $470.0.

    Here are some recent targets:

    • Stephen Kim from Evercore ISI Group set a target price of $407.0 on 04/13/2026
    • Sam Reid from Wells Fargo set a target price of $475.0 on 04/08/2026
    • Kurt Yinger from DA Davidson set a target price of $465.0 on 03/18/2026
    • Mike Dahl from RBC Capital set a target price of $433.0 on 02/27/2026
    • Reuben Garner from Benchmark set a target price of $500.0 on 02/27/2026
    • Philip Ng from Jefferies set a target price of $536.0 on 12/15/2025

    This article is not financial advice. See Quiver Quantitative's disclaimers for more information. Note that there may be inaccuracies due to mistakes in ticker-mapping, and other anomalies.

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