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Markets bet on whether the federal hiring freeze will be lifted before 2026

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Kalshi has reported 14,449 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will the federal hiring freeze be lifted before 2026?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 90% chance for "Before 2026", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 90% probability.

If the federal hiring freeze is lifted before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 23,091 transactions since it was first opened on June 20, 2025. There are 9,793 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 1,552,654 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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