Kalshi has reported 121,753 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will the federal government shut down for more than 40 days?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 47% chance for "More than 40 days", which is up from yesterday, when the market implied a 45% probability.
If the ongoing federal government shutdown (starting October 1) lasts for Above 40 days (through 10:00 AM ET November 10), then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 738,076 transactions since it was first opened on October 03, 2025. There are 318,764 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 21,564,693 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their October 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 527672)
- Will a representative of the Andrew Cuomo party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 222222)
- Will the Republican party win the governorship in New Jersey (24h volume: 174870)
- Will the federal government shut down for more than 40 days? (24h volume: 121753)
- Will the Republican party win the governorship in Virginia (24h volume: 106283)
- Will the Fed cut rates 3 times? (24h volume: 80696)
- Will Curtis Sliwa drop out of the NYC Mayoral race? (24h volume: 47064)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.10? (24h volume: 45565)
- Will the President sign above 0 Executive Orders between Oct 12, 2025 and Oct 19, 2025? (24h volume: 39053)
- Will Republicans win the House? (24h volume: 33147)
