Kalshi has reported 56,616 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will the federal government shut down for fewer than 92 days?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 91% chance for "Yes", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 91% probability.
If the ongoing federal government shutdown (starting October 1) lasts for less than 92 days (ends before 10:00 AM ET January 1, 2026), then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 518,643 transactions since it was first opened on October 26, 2025. There are 294,677 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 7,202,452 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will a representative of the Andrew Cuomo party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 6313173)
- Will Jack Ciattarelli win the 2025 New Jersey gubernatorial election? (24h volume: 1607427)
- Will the Department of Education be eliminated before Jan 1, 2026? (24h volume: 535584)
- Margin of victory for Zohran Mamdani in the Mayoral Election? (24h volume: 479027)
- Will Curtis Sliwa drop out of the NYC Mayoral race? (24h volume: 247781)
- Will Winsome Earle-Sears win the 2025 Virginia gubernatorial election? (24h volume: 246528)
- Who will get second place in the Mayor? (24h volume: 246082)
- Will Democrats win VA Governor AND VA House of Delegates AND NJ Governor AND Mamdani wins NYC Mayor all win their elections? (24h volume: 214801)
- What percent of the vote will Zohran Mamdani get in NYC Mayoral Election? (24h volume: 134878)
- Will Zohran Mamdani receive between 60% and 70.00% of the popular vote in New York City? (24h volume: 129455)
