Kalshi has reported 7,004 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “State of the economy at the end of 2025?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 4% chance for "Stagflation", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 4% probability.
If the BLS reports that the unemployment rate is At least 6% and inflation (measured as percent change from year ago) is at least 5% in Dec 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 30,477 transactions since it was first opened on May 13, 2025. There are 21,697 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 1,504,112 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Fed cut rates 2 times? (24h volume: 205292)
- Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their October 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 143767)
- Will a representative of the Democratic party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 135306)
- Will the Republican party win the governorship in New Jersey (24h volume: 90135)
- Will the Fed cut rates more than 25 bps in 2025? (24h volume: 44043)
- Donald Trump out this year? (24h volume: 34785)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.15? (24h volume: 34757)
- Filibuster weakened before 2026 (24h volume: 32089)
- Will the government be shut down on October 01? (24h volume: 22655)
- Will above 0 jobs be added in September 2025? (24h volume: 20783)
