Kalshi has reported 46,759 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Who will win the next presidential election?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 1% chance for "Greg Abbott", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 1% probability.
If Greg Abbott is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 48,701 transactions since it was first opened on May 10, 2025. There are 48,701 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 880,675,747 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their October 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 113919)
- Will a representative of the Democratic party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 93883)
- Will the federal government shut down for more than 15 days? (24h volume: 87514)
- Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? (24h volume: 46790)
- Who will win the next presidential election? (24h volume: 46759)
- Will Ruben Gallego be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party? (24h volume: 31041)
- Will the Republican party win the governorship in Virginia (24h volume: 25172)
- Xi Jinping out this year? (24h volume: 23259)
- Will the Republican party win the governorship in New Jersey (24h volume: 22898)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.05? (24h volume: 19594)
