Kalshi has reported 14,723 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will the S&P 500 be between 7000 and 7199.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2025?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 22% chance for "7,000 to 7,199.99", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 22% probability.
If the end-of-day S&P 500 index value for December 31, 2025 is between 7000-7199.99, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 329,512 transactions since it was first opened on November 05, 2024. There are 189,350 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 105,508,718 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Powell leaves before 2026? (24h volume: 325749)
- Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 263683)
- Will the federal government shut down for more than 10 days? (24h volume: 78421)
- Will the Republican party win the governorship in New Jersey (24h volume: 71967)
- Will the Republican party win the governorship in Virginia (24h volume: 63140)
- Will a representative of the Andrew Cuomo party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 50401)
- Will Curtis Sliwa drop out of the NYC Mayoral race? (24h volume: 33709)
- Will **real GDP** increase by more than 0.0% in Q3 2025? (24h volume: 24684)
- Donald Trump out this year? (24h volume: 23905)
- Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.1% for the year ending in September 2025? (24h volume: 21370)
