Kalshi has reported 15,384 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will the Fed cut rates more than 25 bps in 2025?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 4% chance for "In 2025", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 4% probability.
If the Federal Reserve cuts rates by more than 25 basis points before Dec 31, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 797,407 transactions since it was first opened on January 04, 2025. There are 294,352 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 9,851,821 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their December 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 293312)
- Who will be elected President of Honduras in 2025? (24h volume: 252416)
- Will Trump announce his new Chair of the Federal Reserve in 2025? (24h volume: 247721)
- Will Trump next nominate Kevin Hassett as Fed Chair? (24h volume: 214332)
- Will Democratic win the House race for TN-7? (24h volume: 198162)
- Will legislation extending enhanced ACA premium tax credits becomes law before Jan 1, 2026? (24h volume: 105780)
- Nicolás Maduro out this year? (24h volume: 101394)
- Will Mark Kelly be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? (24h volume: 77325)
- Will Marjorie Taylor Greene be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? (24h volume: 70486)
- Donald Trump out this year? (24h volume: 66725)
