Kalshi has reported 7,103 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will the Supreme Court overturn marriage equality?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 16% chance for "Before 2029", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 16% probability.
If the Supreme Court rules that same-sex marriage is not required by the Constitution before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 13,345 transactions since it was first opened on January 18, 2025. There are 12,537 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 84,034,671 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 418287)
- Powell leaves before 2026? (24h volume: 143543)
- Will a representative of the Democratic party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 78980)
- Will the Fed cut rates 0 times? (24h volume: 37850)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.10? (24h volume: 35394)
- Will Trump next nominate Stephen Miran as Fed Chair? (24h volume: 24655)
- Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.4% in August? (24h volume: 23941)
- Will Ro Khanna be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party? (24h volume: 18414)
- Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.9% for the year ending in August 2025? (24h volume: 17769)
- Will there be a recession in 2025? (24h volume: 14405)
