Kalshi has reported 5,100 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Inflation surge in Dec 10, 2025?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 20% chance for "At least 4%", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 20% probability.
If year-over-year CPI inflation is above 3.99% in any month in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 204,724 transactions since it was first opened on November 05, 2024. There are 66,608 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 2,380,484 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will CPI rise more than 0.3% in July 2025? (24h volume: 194936)
- Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.7% for the year ending in July 2025? (24h volume: 134682)
- Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 128905)
- Powell leaves before 2026? (24h volume: 51984)
- Will Hunter Biden be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party? (24h volume: 50000)
- Will the S&P 500 be between 6600 and 6799.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2025? (24h volume: 42263)
- Will the Fed cut rates 3 times? (24h volume: 39832)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.10? (24h volume: 28445)
- Will Trump announce his new Chair of the Federal Reserve in 2025? (24h volume: 28297)
- Will a representative of the Democratic party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 19089)
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