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Markets bet on whether core inflation will rise more than 0.2% in July

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Kalshi has reported 6,828 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will core inflation rise more than 0.2% in July?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 81% chance for "Above 0.2%", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 81% probability.

If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for July 2025, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by more than 0.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 19,444 transactions since it was first opened on June 12, 2025. There are 14,443 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 4,527,031 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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