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Markets bet on whether a bill removing the gambling tax provision for OBBB becomes law before Jan 1, 2026

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Kalshi has reported 20,117 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will a bill that removes/changes the gambling tax provision that OBBB becomes law before Jan 1, 2026?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 58% chance for "a bill that removes/changes the gambling tax provision that OBBB", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 58% probability.

If a bill that removes/changes the gambling tax provision that OBBB becomes law before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 405,365 transactions since it was first opened on July 17, 2025. There are 234,069 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 10,078,226 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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